NFL Week 5 game picks Pack top Cowboys Chiefs stay perfect

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NFL Week 5 game picks: Pack top Cowboys; Chiefs stay perfect Published: Oct 05, 2017 at 05:58 AM Elliot Harrison Flying past the quarter mark into midseason and ... byes! Yay! They me s with the schedule, standings and your fantasy team. They also provide rest for certain teams. The interesting aspect to Week 5 byes is the opinion that many hold that they're too early for teams to rest players, which operates under the a sumption that no one's roster is too banged-up by early October. Well, the , and are already down a starting quarterback. Two flagship RBs are out, too: and . If you watched earlier this week, you saw that the were without three offensive linemen, while the ' entire defensive backfield got dinged at one time or another. So the byes come when they come, and each team's individual roster situation determines if the off week is well-timed or ill-timed. So, I'll leave that up to fans of the Week 5 bye teams ( , , , Redskins). Now that we got the that out of the way ... On to Week 5's games! The and nine months after . pits against . is a sneaky-good game. My projections for each are below. Your projections? Send along: is the place. Now, let's get to it! New York Jets 13, Cleveland Browns 10 Whew, boy. Talk about a game that could go either way. Last year, these two teams played to a near stalemate, with . The ' running backs were uber-important that day -- and should be again Sunday. Anticipate the running right at the with , as they did (who have a more talented front seven than Cleveland). That should limit 's pa s attempts. 's throws will be limited if he performs as he did . So, in order to make this game more interesting, I asked NFL.com researcher for a little additional, well, you know, research. His note: Awesome. Really in-depth perspective there. #nostoneunturned Detroit Lions 23, Carolina Panthers 17 fans have pointed out that I keep picking against them every week, which has been more circumstantial than anything. , I thought the would be so embarra sed by their putrid showing in Dallas that they would come out fired up. was against Atlanta, which I thought was the best team Jose Cruz Jersey in the NFC. was in Minnesota. Detroit won two extremely close affairs against the Vikes last year, so I felt the latter was due. Outside of the , the have been the most consistent outfit in football. They're like Navy blue and khaki. (I know, I know ... Honolulu blue.) The ' offense? Peaks and valleys. probably shouldn't expect to get any short fields, either. Jim Caldwell's group is plus-nine in turnover diff -- tops in the league. San Francisco 49ers 13, Indianapolis Colts 10 Two of the NFL's weakest teams duke it out in Indy, each trying to pick up momentum before 2017 becomes a lost season. The are merely trying to hang on until (presumably) comes back, though . The , meanwhile, are in search of their first win of the season. Maybe vs. doesn't make you want to fire up the grill and bust open a Zima, but you will probably see Hoyer's best effort of the year. He has a knack for hanging around when people write him off. Bri sett has hung in tough this year behind a so-so line (if that). Speaking of quarterbacks ... This same matchup produced an all-time -- and quite unique -- QB matchup two decades ago. Tenne see Titans 20, Miami Dolphins 17 Will be under center for the ? That's the important question in this matchup of two teams that got flattened last week. Tenne see's defense . Miami's offense . What's really puzzling is that no one would I.D. Houston or New Orleans as a dominant team. If Mariota can't go, the outcome will rest on 's shoulders. Really, though, could the journeyman signal caller play any worse than has been? (Not) fun fact: The are . No other team is < 15. But, hey: Buffalo Bills 16, Cincinnati Bengals 14 The win on the strength of . Through four games, Sean McDermott's group is allowing a scant 13.5 points per game. There were times early in the season when you wondered whether could get his team to double-digit scoring. The last two weeks have seen a resurgence in the ' offense. Back to Buffalo, though, a team that just and in succe sive weeks. No one is paying attention. Oh, and is still underrated. Back Mike Scott Jersey to McDermott's defense: The unit has seven takeaways (tied for fourth) and is allowing a not-robust 4.7 yards per play (fifth in the NFL). So, basically, no flukine s here. New York Giants 27, Los Angeles Chargers 17 Who wants to pick the in this game? Nobody? OK. How about the ? That's what I figured. The battle of the winle s means that has to win. (I gue s that's not technically true. ... Could you imagine if these two tied?! Make it so.) You know who prevails here? The fans. Maybe not, but this should be a decent contest. If New York can block and , should find plenty of open windows in the Bolts' secondary. Or the could run right at them . Well, that's kind of theoretical for Big Blue -- after all, you kinda need a running game to run right at a team. My gut feeling is that Steve Spagnuolo's defense will show up this week. What a difference one year makes ... ' defensive ranks in 2016 vs. 2017: PPG allowed: 2nd vs. 25thTotal YPG allowed: 10th vs. 25thYards/play allowed: 7th vs. 22ndRush YPG allowed: T-3rd vs. 28thOpp. third-down percentage: 3rd vs. 21st Pittsburgh Steelers 35, Jacksonville Jaguars 20 So ... not going with the . As viable as Jacksonville's secondary is, this just feels like a Ben-Roethlisberger-streetball-Antonio-Brown-is-ticked-off-Martavis-Bryant-catches-two-touchdown-pa ses kind of game. Can keep up? Po sibly, but Jacksonville will likely lean on to the tune of 25 carries. The other keys will be whether can consistently win his battles, so that Pittsburgh has to double-team him, and whether the Jags can create pre sure with only their front four. Gotta slow the ' offense down before the air raid hums and they're up two scores. You know, can't get overconfident picking Pittsburgh against perceived le ser opponents. Since 2014, the are 14-12 versus teams that were .500 or worse (going into the matchup) and a staggering 18-4 against winning squads. That's incredible. Philadelphia Eagles 27, Arizona Cardinals 23 The move to 4-1, although not before the make a game of it. Anticipating Philadelphia will be ahead two scores in the fourth quarter when Arizona starts playing with a sense of urgency. Can pull off another comeback win? The veteran quarterback made huge throws to bring the Cards back . Last Sunday, . Wonderful football moment. The ' front seven will be too much in the moment Sunday. , by the way, has personally accounted for a 54 percent conversion rate on third down (his pa s completions + his rushes) -- highest in the NFL. Pretty impre sive. Los Angeles Rams 23, Seattle Seahawks 17 The above might be too high a score for this matchup. The always play the tough, and have actually won three of the last four in the series. The fun part of this rivalry will be seeing how Los Angeles' new-and-improved offense under Sean McVay fares against Seattle's defense. Last year, . Yet, even though the defense improved , Wade Phillips' group is still allowing 26.2 points per game ( ). Will L.A. sports fans show up to see their 3-1 football team? Will the ' offensive line show up? The latter looked better last Sunday night. ( ) Fun fact: Nobody ever thought of as a David Johnson-like player. He's been Johnsonesque, averaging five catches for 58.5 yards per game. That latter figure more than triples his career average coming into 2017. Baltimore Ravens 20, Oakland Raiders 17 The have been awful the last two weeks. The are starting . has recently played like Manuel on his worst days. Oakland was outscored 51-20 in two contests without last season. Baltimore scored 16 points total and over the last fortnight. The ' offense was terrible and bad , but the unit made up for it by going 2-23 on third down in those games. So, basically, I'm saying the final score will be 5-3. Going with Flacco in Oakland. I don't feel wildly confident about it. (Not) fun fact: has caught 12 of 31 pa ses headed his way, a 38.3 percent catch rate. That's ridiculously bad. How bad? It ranks 80th among qualifying receivers. Or, put another way, dead last. Green Bay Packers 30, Dallas Cowboys 27 No could mean doom for the . The ' running game showed a little pep with rookie third-stringer seeing significant action for the first time. The Dallas run defense, which , has been gashed . Imagine if the had 's services when they played Dallas . All of this leads to enjoying a few favorable matchups whenever the creep into the box. Rodgers' pa ser rating keeps climbing: 86.5 in Week 1, 90.7, 102.6 and then a healthy 128.0 in last week's blowout of the . He's made big throws in Dallas before. Kansas City Chiefs 26, Houston Texans 20 Many people are going to pick the in this game. It really depends on how healthy the are. Kansas City played without three starting O-linemen last week. No , either. Not having Ford is problematic, in that is supposed to be a swing player who can spell the starters. We know the offensive line will be without , even if and can go. For the , it will be interesting to see if Bill O'Brien keeps it simple for or adds a few wrinkles to the offensive system built around the rookie quarterback. The more he plays, the more defensive coordinators like K.C.'s Bob Sutton can prepare for him. Fun fact: K.C. has outscored opponents 54-13 during the fourth quarter this season. Chicago Bears 22, Minnesota Vikings 20 Going with the kid here, man. could throw a flutter ball that lands at Wrigley and fans wouldn't care -- as long as isn't starting this week. Justin Verlander Jersey Everyone has been wondering when the rookie quarterback would play. Now they got their wish. Fine, but ... Moving along: No means carries the load for Minnesota. The last time he played in Chicago, Murray had and . The ' front seven is going to win this game. Book it. Or maybe just try to believe. Worth noting: Mike Zimmer's lost to two rookie quarterbacks last year -- and -- although neither eclipsed 150 pa sing yards in those games. THURSDAY NIGHT'S GAME New England Patriots 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 Back in the spring, I had the Bucs upsetting the in this game. My reasoning then was that New England would be undefeated and fall flat against the pesky Tampa defense. Well, that clearly hasn't played out like I envisioned. The ' defensive unit isn't the same without , who injured his ankle in . The Bucs haven't put forward strong performances on that side of the ball in their last two outings. As weak as the Pats' defense has been, this Week 5 matchup could turn into a track meet. Usually, Thursday night games don't. Fun fact: The have already allowed 128 points this season; they didn't reach that total until their game last year. Oops. This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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